U.S.
stocks surged the most in almost three months and the dollar rebounded
as jobs data reinforced optimism that the economy is robust enough to
withstand higher interest rates.
The Standard & Poor’s 500
Index rallied 2 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 370
points. The greenback jumped after its steepest drop since March as jobs
data that topped estimates kept the odds for a rate increase this month
above 75 percent. Treasuries rose with gold on speculation any subsequent hikes will be gradual. Oil plunged to $40 a barrel.
The
payrolls report underscored Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s contention that
the American economy can withstand higher interest rates this
year. Equities extended gains after Mario Draghi signaled
the European Central Bank will add to stimulus if needed, a day after
the institution roiled markets by disappointing investors with the scale
of expanded monetary support.
The
employment report “ought to clinch it for the Fed in terms of liftoff
in December,” Phil Orlando, who helps oversee $360 billion as chief
equity market strategist at Federated Investors Inc. in New York., said
by phone. “We should have a spike after yesterday’s overreaction on the
euro and Draghi.”
Friday’s headlines bring to an end three days of
economic developments that will help shape the direction of markets
into 2016 as the Fed prepares to raise interest rates for the first time
in nearly a decade while central banks in Europe and Asia have
committed to expanding stimulus if necessary.
Stocks
The
S&P 500 rose 2.1 percent at 4 p.m. in New York, erasing a weekly
loss. The index fell to a three-week low Thursday after the ECB’s
decision sparked a selloff in risk assets. The gauge is down 1.9 percent
from its May record.
Employers added more jobs
than forecast in November, government data showed Friday, following a
surge in October that was bigger than previously reported. The jobless
rate held at a more than seven-year low of 5 percent.
“The data
implies an improving U.S. economy, which should provide a backdrop for
the Fed to raise rates at their upcoming meeting,” said Michael James,
managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc. in Los
Angeles. “You’ll see the market react positively to this data, erasing
some of yesterday’s declines.”
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index
retreated 0.4 percent, capping a weekly drop of 3.4 percent, the most
since August. Optimism for a strong new round of ECB stimulus helped
push the index to a three-month high on Monday. It spent the week
through Wednesday hovering near this level, pushing gains from a
September low to 13 percent.
Bonds
Treasuries gained as jobs
data bolstered expectations the Fed will take its time with additional
increases if it raises rates at its Dec. 16-17 meeting. Government debt
prices rebounded after two-year yields reached the highest since 2010.
The 10-year rate fell four basis points to 2.27 percent.
The
figures tell investors that “the Fed won’t go that fast but they’ll
still go, so I think the bond market is kind of relieved,” said George
Goncalves, head of interest-rate strategy in New York at Nomura Holdings
Inc., one of the 22 primary dealers that trade with the Fed.
The
10-year German bund yield rose one basis point to 0.68 percent after
jumping by 20 basis points, the most since 2011, on Thursday when the
ECB extended its quantitative-easing program without increasing the pace
of monthly purchases.
Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot
Index rose 0.4 percent after plunging 1.4 percent Thursday. Gains were
tempered by a report showing the trade deficit unexpectedly widened. The
index fell 1.1 percent in the week.
"The dollar is trading
stronger in reaction to the payrolls data as it gives more justification
to a Fed December rate hike," said Eimear Daly, a currency strategist
at Standard Chartered Plc in London.
The euro weakened 0.6 percent
to $1.0873 after soaring 3.1 percent on Thursday. The currency had
slumped about 5 percent this quarter prior to the ECB decision.
Commodities
Oil
dropped after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries lifted
the group’s production ceiling to 31.5 million barrels a day. Futures
fell as much as 3.6 percent in New York. The previous target was 30
million barrels a day.
Oil has slumped since Saudi Arabia led
OPEC’s decision last year to maintain production and defend market share
against higher-cost rivals. Energy shares in the S&P 500 fell 0.8
percent for the biggest declines, while oil and gas producers in Europe
paced losses there.
Gold traders are taking the long view,
spurring enough optimism in the market to drive the biggest price gain
since April. Bullion futures for February delivery gained 2.2 percent to
settle at $1,084.10 an ounce. Prices touched $1,045.40 on Dec. 3, the
lowest since 2010.
Emerging Markets
The MSCI Emerging
Markets Index fell for a third day to a two-month low, sliding 1 percent
and extending the week’s loss to 1.8 percent. Equity gauges in Brazil,
China, Turkey, Poland and South Africa dropped at least 1.5 percent.
China’s
stocks fell for the first time in five days, with the Shanghai
Composite Index retreating 1.7 percent as initial public offerings
resumed after a five-month freeze. The gauge advanced 4.3 percent this
week through Thursday on speculation the central bank will extend
monetary easing.
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